I think the story of the fight will be that Miguel Cotto will fight a very controlled fight frustrating and spoiling Manny Pacquiao's in-out attacks with well timed jabs and straight rights. Manny Pacquiao will try to adapt by doing what comes natural to him, being more aggressive and get caught with a well timed straight right on the button coming in.
Manny Pacquiao will show his heart, get up on shaky legs and the referee will stop it with Pac helpless on the ropes.
TKO late middle rounds (6-9) Cotto keeps his WBO strap.
People who think Miguel Cotto is on the decline are wrong, the guy is only 29 years old and lives clean. He has been in some wars, most specifically the Antonio Margarito fight, but it obviously didn't take enough out of him mentally or physically to keep him from taking the Clottey fight (someone NOBODY has or will look good against at WW). Despite the huge gash over his eye, toughing it out and doing enough to get the win.
I like Manny Pacquiao, but I think he and his team have underestimated Cotto and overestimated his wins against Oscar De La Hoya (a has been) and Ricky Hatton (a never was). Anyone who thinks that DLH with anything left in the tank wouldn't have changed the way that fight went down is kidding themselves, last time he looked good was vs Mosley #2 in Sept of 2003.
In short, Cotto is going to put out that candle in the Pac-o-lantern.
*Make sure to tune into HBO Pay-Per-View tonight and catch on your TV Manny Pacquiao vs. Miguel Cotto. The telecast is available in HDTV (Super High Quality) for who's TV sets can receive the HDTV signal. Check with your local Cable provider or Satellite Dish receiver for more information. Also stay tuned to DoghouseBoxing for tons more updates.