Weaver's Boxing Prediction on Oscar De La Hoya vs Manny Pacquiao
By Garth Weaver, Doghouse Boxing (Dec 6, 2008) DoghouseBoxing.com (Photo © German Villasenor, DHB)  
I don't see why this fight is going down and why this match-up is suddenly a "toss up" when six months ago it was being laughed off as a gross mismatch... It looks like the power of suggestion robs people of common sense – I digress...

De la Hoya by BRUTAL KO/TKO in 5.

Here's how I see it going down:

Rounds 1 and 2 will be your typical "measure-up rounds" where Oscar will start finding a home for his jab and show Manny that he will not be able to make Oscar go backwards.

In the 3rd, I think that De la Hoya sticking to his jab and landing his left hook and some right hands. I expect to see Manny trying to launch an offensive but will be shut down by Oscars jab and size – not to mention that Oscar will start backing Manny up midway through the 3rd round. I don't think Oscar will be landing with authority in that round or the 4th, as he will only be landing those hooks and rights for two reasons:

1) Ensure that he can hit his target repeatedly with his money punch and his "weaker" power punch; and

2) Lull Manny into thinking that he can take Oscar's punch.

In the 5th round, I think it will all come together for Oscar and that is the point where he will trap Manny on the ropes and either drop him for the count, or just drop him and badly hurt him, then Manny will get up and have to get saved a few moments later in the follow-up barrage. If there is anything that Oscar is, it's a strong finisher when he knows that he has his opponent hurt and smells blood.

In short – Oscar will just be too much for Manny to handle.

All this bullshit about Oscar slowing down the stretch is just that in my opinion. The only fight the he has been in recently where he faded late was against Floyd Mayweather Jr. He didn't fade against Forbes, He didn't fade against Mayorga, he didn't fade against BHops and he didn't fade against Sturm. If anything, he was stronger against Sturm in the later rounds. He didn't fade against Mosley, he didn't fade against Campas and he didn't fade against Vargas either.

People like to say that Oscar fades because of one fight. It's no different than people labeling Lennox Lewis as a boring fighter when his only boring fight was against David Tua with many of the rest of his bouts ending in highlight-reel knockouts.

It doesn't help that Oscar said that he slows down in the late rounds because he's afraid that he'll run out of gas. Even though he doesn't.

In any event, Oscar De La Hoya wins via KO/TKO in the 5th round, in a very brutal fashion. Common sense should tell people this, as well as Manny Pacquiao's sparring partners getting very brave all of a sudden – see Amir Khan calling out Ricky Hatton at Doghouseboxing.com. If Manny's sparring partners are suddenly very brave when they are sparring with the consensus number one pound-for-pound fighter, what does that tell you? It tells me that Manny is having problems with them behind closed doors. I think we will all see this on Saturday night, and with common sense set aside, a lot of people will be forced to believe that Manny Pacquiao is beatable – as Oscars hand is being raised in victory.



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