The time for
this Superfight to take place is finally here.
For many years the fight has been viewed by most fans as black or white,
meaning most people have picked a side and locked in…Floyd or Manny. Over the years the debate has even developed into
weird subcultures amongst boxing fans. As always, it isn't black or white but there
are a ton of variables and issues that will determine how this fight plays out.
The first issue
that boxing people are aware of but has been overlooked by the popular majority
in the midst of the excitement is that Mayweather at 38 and Pacquiao at 36 are
both past their primes. However, both
are still capable of competing at or near their best. For an aging athlete and even more so for an ageing
fighter, there will be more nights where they realize that despite the same preparation
that they just do not have their A game once they step into the ring. Mayweather seemed to acknowledge this after
he beat Marcos Maidana in his last fight when he gave his winning performance a
C-.
Another factor
is injuries. The question going into a
fight of this magnitude between two veteran warriors in their mid to late 30’s
will not be if either of these men are
hurting and have any old nagging injuries, the question will be if the injuries
are bad enough on fight night to impact their performance. Everyone knows that Floyd has had hand
problems most of his career, while Pacquiao has suffered from bad cramps in his
calves in the past and it has been reported he has had them in camp training
for this fight.
Considering
the mental toughness, experience and greatness of both fighters, injuries
should not play a part in determining the outcome of the fight or the strategy
during it…..but it depends on the level of their presence on fight night. Floyd Mayweather Sr. when discussing
Pacquiao’s leg issues said, "To me, that would be Floyd put pressure on
him, back him up, back him up on his legs.
It's going to be good because he ain't going to be able to jump all
night like that.”
"He might be able to do it for two or three rounds, but
if his legs are really hurting him -- I mean, he can get his legs back well
before the fight, but in a good, tough fight, the (pain) will probably come
back. It'll probably come back to him."
Besides brittle
hands, Mayweather’s legs have also been questioned despite the fact he used
them a lot more in his most recent fight with Marcos Maidana then he did in
their first fight. Freddie Roach
recently said, "I actually think Floyd had a better chance of beating
Manny five years ago than he does now. I think his legs are a little bit shot.
I think he's slowed down a bit. I think we can take advantage of that,"
To win the
fight, Pacquiao will need to use his superior foot speed and severe cramps can
negate that speed and potentially take away one of Manny’s best attributes. While Mayweather has dealt with hand problems
throughout his career and has always been victorious; he hasn’t fought anyone
who fights with the speed and intensity of Manny Pacquiao. To get Pacquiao’s respect and keep him honest
Floyd will need to be able to use his hands to sit down on some shots and punch
with authority when he gets the opportunities.
Neither of these great warriors would have has
such long brilliant careers and be at this level, fighting each other in the
biggest money fight in the history of boxing if they weren’t both fighters who
are usually at their best when the stakes are the highest. That being said they are still human beings but
especially with all the money and their reputations on the line it would be
highly unlikely either man would ever pull out even for what most would
consider serious last minute issues.
There have been very unique issues going on
behind the scenes of big fights in the past that have changed the history of
boxing when the show must go on. In
these situations fighters are accused of being washed up, or outclassed when
there is more going on than meets the eye.
Examples include, Evander Holyfield who is said to have contracted Hepatitis
A at some point prior to his 3rd fight with Riddick Bowe. To his credit Holyfield knocked Bowe down
and looked like he might finish Bowe, but he clearly hit a wall where all his
energy left his body and he was stopped.
In Azumah Nelson’s first fight with Jeff
Fenech Nelson faded badly, while he didn’t
hit a wall like Holyfield did, he clearly was losing it while Fenech came on
late and appeared to score the victory (the judges scored it a draw). Later
Nelson revealed he had entered the bout suffering with malaria. When they fought a rematch and a healthy
Nelson stopped Fenech in the 8th round, people took notice and many said, wow…he
must have been sick the 1st time. While facts or excuses will always be
disputed, these two were at least arguably true and seemed to make sense
considering the fighters prior and subsequent performances in the ring.
The anticipation
and build up to the fight will probably out do the fight itself, but there is
the possibility this can actually end up a great fight. Mayweather’s
goal is simply to be Floyd Mayweather and win the fight. Being Floyd Mayweather usually means slowing
the pace down a lot, and working the judges and the referee. Sharp defense and sharp but infrequent single
pot shots with just enough movement sprinkled in For
the fight to have a chance to be great, first Manny must impose his will on
Mayweather, he must earn his respect and be capable of taking Floyd out of his comfort
zone more than he has ever been in his career, from there the battle is keeping
him out of it, while Floyd adjusts.
If Floyd wins a
boring defense first conservative decision with a lot of close rounds, the
fight will be a disappointment to most.
If Pacquiao takes Floyd out of his comfort zone and Floyd is never
really able to get back into it and as a result Floyd is dropped and beaten or
stopped, it can be an exciting fight and an upset. However, for this fight to be a classic,
Manny will have to impose his will on Floyd to the point where Floyd realizes that
he is incapable of making the adjustments to quickly turn it back into his
fight, like he did with top fighters like Shane Mosley and Zab Judah.
This may be the
first time in his career that Floyd may be out gunned. While arguments can be made that maybe one or
two former opponents were able to match Floyd in hand and foot speed, this
appears to be the first time the Floyd will be fighting someone with faster
hands and feet. Floyd is capable of
handling that, but Pacquiao whose boxing instincts and IQ seem to be
underestimated by most may put Mayweather in uncharted waters. If Pacquiao can beat Floyd to the punch, work
in and out, work his angles all while using his speed then the master of
adjustments, Floyd Mayweather may finally be forced to use everything in his
arsenal to keep Pacquiao off of him and stay competitive in the fight. Floyd may have more opportunities to show his
greatness in this fight than he has had in just about all of his fights to date. Pacquiao can potentially give Floyd no other
choice but to stand his ground, sit down on shots, and possibly need to stage a
comeback or win the fight fighting Pacquiao’s fight possibly looking for a
knockout.
It is possibly
that these two great warriors are capable of taking each other to places that
no prior opponent has been able to, especially regarding Mayweather who hasn't
tasted defeat as a professional. If
Mayweather realistically wants to be considered “The Best Ever” he needs this
moment, more than Pacquiao does…..but realistically they will both need each
other to show up with their A game and show their greatness on Saturday to
enable one of them to put their greatness on display and in the process leave
an everlasting impact on their legacies, boxing and sports. It is possible that everything clicks on
Saturday and Floyd and Manny are forced to leave it all in the ring and this
fight becomes an instant classic.
E-mail Danny at thefightlawyer@gmail.com and see more of his work at www.brickcityboxing.com
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