|Doghouse Boxing Decides: Cotto vs Gomez and Cintron vs Margarito
Compiled by Gabriel Montoya (April 12, 2008) Doghouse Boxing (Photo © HBO)
This weekend is boxing fan heaven. Two fight cards with either relevant, division changing fights or simply all action match-ups. It’s enough to make your Tivo explode. Keep reading to see how the Doghouse crew sees the action going down.
Benny Henderson, Jr.: Cintron-Margarito: Kermit is not the same cat that he was when he was stopped by Margarito three years back, but neither is Antonio. This should be a very good fight
while it lasts, but I feel history repeats itself, Margarito takes out Cintron in eight.
Cotto-Gomez: I mean no disrespect to Gomez, but this is one of those fights that have me scratching my head on why it is even happening. But hey, this is the circus act known as the business of boxing. Everybody has a punchers chance, unfortunately for Gomez he is not known for his pop. Call Gomez the double O, Overhyped and Out of his league. Cotto’s power and experience will rule the night. This is not a battle sacred Gatti, and Cotto should be able take Gomez into deep waters and drown him via late round TKO.
Cintron-Margarito: Cintron by decision A true pick ‘em fight despite the one sided nature of the first fight. I see two fighters slowly moving in opposite directions. Cintron looked great against Matthyse who was supposed to be a test and lackluster against Feliciano who was supposed to be a tuneup. Margarito blew out Golden Johnson in a tune-up after being outboxed and
outwork by Paul Williams. The Clottey fight previous to that may have been a warning shot that Margarito is slowly getting worse for wear. I think this time Cintron has his head on straight and will pass his ultimate test against the only man to beat him.
Cotto-Gomez: Cotto by 8th round stoppage. Beating Gatti and Ben Tackie is just not enough to prepare Gomez for the caliber of fighter he is about to face. Class and experience will show big time in this one.
Cintron-Margarito: If Kermit can box wisely on the outside, and resist the temptation to slug it out with the Tijuana Tornado, he should be able to land enough leather on the Mexican veteran to win via late stoppage. Of course, this was also the scenario last time they fought. This time, Kermit has a world class team and renewed confidence, which will be the deciding factors. Cintron TKO 11.
Cotto-Gomez: Gomez gets his cash out fight as a reward for sending Thunder Gatti into retirement, against the best welter weight in the world in Miguel Cotto. There's no stopping the Cotto train here, not even rumors of a disrupted camp and troubles with trainer/uncle Evangelista Cotto can save Gomez from the inevitable barrage of body shots that will eventually send him into submission mid way into the fight. Cotto TKO 4
Cotto-Gomez: How did this fight come about again? And how insane would it be if Gomez won?! For all his bravery and boyish charm, it's tough to see Alfonso Gomez prevailing against Miguel Cotto on Saturday night. Yes, there's the motivation of winning his first real belt and there's the possibility of catching the undefeated Puerto Rican at just the right time but there's also reality in play here. Cotto and Gomez are 27 years old and both have been fighting since 2001 but experience rules the day for Cotto has more knockout wins than Gomez has total fights; not to mention the power and the power behind the bodyshot. If Gomez makes it to the 12th round, it's a unanimous decision win for Cotto. If it ends before the final bell, it'll be a later rounds stoppage win for Cotto somewhere around the ninth or tenth heat.
Cintron-Margarito: Oddsmakers have Margarito the favorite in this one, thus far. I'm not sure I agree. Cintron's changed so much since losing to 'The Tijuana Tornado' via TKO almost three years ago. I see a tremendously changed man in 'The Killer' now and that change came from pure confidence in himself. When one has that, everything else falls into place. Margarito hasn't ever been legitimately stopped in his career, save for having his rematch against Daniel Santos stopped on cuts. If anyone is close to getting it done, it's Cintron in a wave of revenge. We're dealing with two different fighters in two different positions now and if Cintron doesn't stop Margarito in around 10 or 11, he'll beat him by unanimous decision.
Realtorchill: Cintron-Margarito: Margarito by decision.
Cotto-Gomez: Cotto by 4th round TKO.
Cintron-Margarito: When these two first met it was Antonio that held a title, now their roles are reversed and it is Kermit defending his IBF strap against the only man to ever defeat him. If memory serves me correctly Cintron was the odds on favorite going into their first fight, and much like their first fight it will be the challenger in Margarito that is the favorite going in. Can Kermit, now 29-1 (27), defeat the only man that seems immune to his power? Can Margarito, 35-5 (25), bounce back from his loss to Paul Williams and claim a new title to wrap around his waist?
Kermit Cintron is very clearly not the fighter that lost to Margarito in 2005. Under the tutelage of Emanuel Steward he has improved his jab and his ability to control range. He has reeled off a series of wins against tough contenders like David Estrada and Jesse Feliciano, as well as obliterating Walter Dario Matthysse in two rounds, something highly touted Paul Williams could not do until the tenth. All of these improvements aside, Cintron has still shown a vulnerability to pressure fighters in his matches with Estrada and Feliciano, and while he has not broken down like he did versus Margarito neither of those men are anywhere near Antonio's level.
Margarito, a man once considered the most avoided fighter at welterweight, is coming off a dominating first round stoppage of an undersized Golden Johnson following a disappointing loss to Paul Williams. During the Williams fight Margarito seemed befuddled early on by his opponent's size, and got started much later than usual in a fight that many thought he had won and would have dominated had he begun his assault earlier. Against Cintron the shocking visage of a 6'2" welterweight will not be present, instead he will be facing someone much closer to his own size, someone he knows he can beat.
While I can see the improvements Kermit has made, I also recognize that in his only two fights versus pressure fighters he has looked mediocre, and that neither of those men are anywhere near the level of Antonio. I do not think Kermit will implode this time around, but I also do not think he can deal with Antonio's pressure over the long haul. Give me the TJ Tornado by late round stoppage somewhere around the ninth or tenth.
Cotto-Gomez: Sometimes notoriety in the world of boxing can be a bad thing, and I think this Saturday Alfonso Gomez's newfound fame will be much to his detriment as he faces off against Miguel Cotto for the latter's WBA title. Gomez, of Contender fame, has done much to put his name on the map. Coming in as the underdog against Arturo Gatti, Gomez, would proceed to brutally punish the former multi-division champ over seven one-sided rounds. The end result was Gatti being brutally blasted out and saved from further punishment by former New Jersey athletic commissioner Larry Hazzard. Since then he has defeated rugged veteran Ben Tackie, and previous to his win over Gatti he picked up wins against Jesse Brinkley and Peter Manfredo.
Cotto, the still undefeated WBA champ, is unlike anyone Gomez has fought before. A legitimate elite fighter with a sterling 31-0 record with 25 KO wins to his credit. He has won titles in two weight divisions, and has defeated more current or former champs than Gomez has fought. As of late Cotto has established himself as one of the game's elite by reeling off wins over current WBO champ Carlos Quintana, Zab Judah, and Shane Mosley. If not for Gomez' advantage in size, he is very clearly the bigger man, and the seeming complacency of the Cotto camp this fight would barely register as a blip on the radar of the SS Junito's career.
Gomez seems like a nice enough guy, and he has yet to be stopped while facing off against better opposition than given credit for. That all being said everything that Alfonso does Miguel does better. He hits harder, has a greater arsenal, is more proven against his division's elite, and is the better boxer. While one cannot rule out Gomez, after all he is the bigger man and has a decent skill set of his own, one must figure that Cotto is just the all around better fighter and will most likely punish Gomez en route to a UD win.
Cintron-Margarito: The first time Kermit Cintron met Antonio Margarito in a boxing ring, Margarito embarrassed Cintron to the point of tears, as he stopped Cintron in the fourth round in what was supposed to be the Puerto Rican's coming out party. Years later, Cintron is a champion and Margarito is working hard to shake off the stigma from his own loss to Paul Williams. Cintron looks improved, but as they say, once you have somebody's number, they can never take it back from you.
Cotto-Gomez: Miguel Cotto is coming off the toughest fight of his career, a razor-thin decision victory against "Sugar" Shane Mosley last November. Gomez defeated rugged veteran Ben Tackie in his previous fight. Now, the champion meets the contender, as Gomez looks to cash in on his popularity by signing up to face the fight of his life in Cotto. To be blunt, Cotto does everything that Gomez does better. The one x factor in the fight is Cotto's chin, as he has been
rocked numerous times in his career, but nonetheless, he fights back harder and
the opponent usually pays a heavy physical price.
Cintorn-Margarito: Margarito will beat Cintron and beat him effectively. If we could just see Mayweather Jr. and Margarito finally do battle, now that would be something...
Cotto-Gomez: In my simple opinion I feel that Cotto is far too experienced, strong and composed for the more novice Gomez. While Gomez has an essence of durability, he hasn't fought at the same level of competition that Cotto has and just doesn't have the power to make a difference and sway the fight in his direction. Cotto will be smarter, stronger and more capable, producing a victory by knockout through determined and controlled execution over the smaller Gomez.
Cintron-Margarito: I put this at the top over the Cotto fight because each band has a real following and because of the rematch aspect of this fight. I am picking Margarito's damaging pressure and rough-housing to break down Cintron in the later rounds and win by stoppage, say around the 10th or 11th. Kermit Cintron does hit perhaps even harder than Tough Tony on a one punch basis but I believe that Margarito can far better handle what Cintron has to offer than Cintron can handle incoming fire from the Mexican Mauler. Add to that that Cintron has the memory of their first fight to cope with although it is fair to say that he did make his presence felt to some extent in that fight overall eyes see Margarito as having much greater mental strength and toughness and I believe that his reserves of pure grit give him the edge in what promises to be a highly watchable battle between two top fighters.
Cotto-Gomez: Cotto is king of the welterweights right now and growing into his crown with each passing fight. Cotto by stoppage at any time after the fifth or sixth over a game challenger whose wins over an ageing Tackie and Gatti make him appear worthy on paper but who, I'm afraid, will be seriously found out as not being anywhere near Cotto's class when he gets into the squared circle.
Cintron-Margarito: This is a tough fight to call. While Cintron has historically struggled with pressure fighters with a high punch output, Margarito has looked like he has lost half a step in his recent loss to Paul Williams and his struggle with Emmanuel Clottey. On the flipside Cintron has markedly improved, both physically and mentally, since his devastating loss to Margarito in 2005. I’m going to go against my better judgment here and predict a razor thin decision for Cintron.
Cotto-Gomez: Gomez might be game, but he’s out of his depth here against tone of the top five fighters in the world. Expect Cotto’s damaging body attack to take its toll by the middle rounds before a savage salvo takes out Gomez in the seventh.
Cintron-Margarito: Margarito is still looking for a big win after a losing to Paul Williams last summer. The win over Golden Johnson was just a quick payday and an oppertunity to get a "W" on Margarito's record. In order for Margarito to get back into contention for a big money fight he is going to need his most impressive win yet so he is fighting the man who....gave him his most impressive win yet. The Kermit Cintron who Margarito battered down in 5 rounds back in 2005 is not the same man he once was. He is older and has shown improvement in his last 5 fights, but Margarito is still a more difficult challenge than any of them. The fight should be more difficult, but the winner should still be the same. Margarito by decision.
Cotto-Gomez: Miguel Cotto is a world class fighter. Alfonso Gomez is a Contender runner up whose claim to fame is beating up on a beaten down Arturo Gatti. Cotto has the better skills and if all goes right, Gomez will just be a pit stop on the way to a much bigger fight. Cotto by late stoppage or wide unanimous decision.
Gabriel at: Coyotefeather@gmail.com
New Doghouse Boxing News RSS Feed Get News Updates on your Desk Top
© Copyright / All Rights reserved: Doghouse Boxing 1998-2008