Kasdin's Prediction on Manny Pacquiao vs Juan Manuel Marquez II


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Kasdin's Prediction on Manny Pacquiao vs Juan Manuel Marquez II

By Julian Kasdin (March 15, 2008) Doghouse Boxing (Photo © German Villasenor)

Manny Pacquiao and Juan Manuel Marquez. Their first fight was great, from the three-knockdown first round for Manny, to the absolute clinic put on by Juan Manuel, never were two styles more clearly contrasted in one fight then that between Pacquiao and Marquez. Now, after four years, they meet again to determine who truly is the best junior lightweight in the world. The winner will not only receive recognition as the best man at their weight, but will also probably receive top pound-for-pound honors and the undying adoration of their countrymen. Which brings us to the question that all interested want

answered, who will win?

Both men have suffered a loss since their first fight, and while Pacquiao avenged his to Morales in brutal fashion, Marquez moved on from Chris John with wins over Barrera and Rocky Juarez. The win over Barrera provides an interesting look into where these two fighters are leading up to their mega-match-up. Marquez clearly beat Barrera in their fight but suffered a knockdown in the process, and while he came away with the win it was by no means the one-sided beat down that Manny would visit on Marco Antonio in their rematch. Manny came into the fight riding a string of success against Morales, Oscar Larios and Solis. With the confidence of his first big win over Barrera seared into his consciousness he came into the fight knowing not only was he the better physical fighter, but that he was also a much improved technical fighter from their first match. In a bout that saw Barrera fight to survive, Pacquiao would go on to dominate, thus setting up a fight with old foe Marquez.

Much was revealed in their respective fights with Barrera, and while

Marquez is probably the better boxer he does not possess the tremendous edge in skill that he did in the first fight. Coming into Saturday's bout I would imagine that Manny, who rumor has it has been more dedicated to his training than he has in years, is well aware that he has the edge in power, chin, speed, and has closed the technical gap. I believe Pacquiao will use his improved arsenal, one that has seen the development of a hook, body attack, and the usage of angles, combined with his greater physical talent to begin and outbox the older Marquez. Eventually Manny will break Juan Manuel down, and, seeing as how Juan lacks the mobility of Barrera, stop late in the fight probably in the eleventh round.

Give me Manny by eleventh round TKO in his last big fight before making the move to 135.

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Julian at: Alcaldemb@aol.com